miércoles, 4 de febrero de 2015

All aboard the Spain-China train?



Low temperatures and high costs are making exporters reluctant to use the new rail route.
22 ENE 2015






Yixinou freight train containers waiting to return to China. / LUIS SEVILLANO (EL PAÍS) 










On December 10, the first freight train to travel direct between China and Spain chugged into Madrid. The 13,000-kilometer Yixinou rail route is the longest in the world, linking Yiwu on China’s east coast with the Spanish capital.



Conceived as a huge two-way trade highway between the two countries, it brought all kinds of consumer items along what has been dubbed the new silk road, and the idea is that it will return to China filled with Spanish wine, olive oil, milk, and even cured ham for China’s burgeoning middle classes. But plans for the train to begin its 21-day journey back in time for the Chinese New Year on February 19 are on hold, and for the moment, its 30 dark blue containers remain stacked up in the Abroñigal rail depot in Madrid.



The sub-zero temperatures that the train will encounter as it passes through Russia, Kazakhstan, and eastern China, along with the high cost of moving goods aboard it, are the main reasons Spanish exporters are reluctant to use the Yixinou train to ship their products for the moment. An official delegation from Yiwu arrives in Madrid this week to try to get a project moving that is very important to the Chinese authorities. A second train bringing Chinese goods is due to arrive in Madrid at the beginning of February.




“We’ve accepted that our goods won’t get to China in time for the New Year celebrations there”.



Daniel Campos, Cobocalleja.info




The route that connects Madrid with Yiwu is part of a much bigger project that Beijing hopes will open up the interior of China. At the same time as fomenting trade with western Europe, the idea is to create new branches from the silk road, connecting with markets in Russia, Mongolia, Kazakhstan, and even Myanmar, Bangladesh, and India.



The difficulties in persuading Spanish businesses to sign up in part illustrates Spain’s trade imbalance, which is heavily in favor of China: the country’s trade deficit with China was €13.4 billion in 2013. That said, exports are growing, and China is now Spain’s fourth-largest non-EU market, after the United States, Morocco, and Turkey. A total of 12,878 Spanish companies exported goods to China last year.



The Yixinou is faster and more reliable than shipping, making it particularly attractive for exporters of perishable and electronic goods. The problem is that it’s up to 30 percent more expensive than maritime travel. Julia Zhang, the director of Orient Consulting, which aims to boost trade ties between China and Spain, has been monitoring the Yixinou initiative closely: “Until now, containers carried aboard ships took up to 45 days to travel from China to Spain. The train is more expensive, but it could be the solution for Spanish exporters that don’t want to have to take their goods through ports.”



Yiwu, the train’s final destination in China, is a vast manufacturing and trading hub located in the eastern coastal province of Zhejiang, where around 70 percent of Chinese immigrants in Spain come from. With its strong ties to their country of origin, the Yixinou has aroused interest among Spain’s Chinese business community. Zhang says the original idea was to export wine and oil aboard the train: “Chinese businesses in Spain are selling a lot of wine and oil to China. A bottle costing €10 here can be sold very easily there for €30. What’s more, the Chinese are drinking larger and larger amounts of Spanish wine. People have more money and are becoming aware of other wines than France’s.”




The wine bottles froze and exploded en route. Maybe in the spring we could try”



César Jiménez of exporter Kerry Logistics




The popularity of olive oil has also soared in recent years in China, where its health-giving properties are increasingly appreciated. “Spanish olive oil has become fashionable in China. It has a good image,” says Fernando Ortega, director of iloveaceite.com, which sells Spanish olive oil around the world. But he believes that for the moment, sea transport will continue to be the preferred option for olive oil exporters, based simply on cost. “Exporters analyze costs down to the last cent. And until prices are adjusted, I don’t think the train is an option in the short term,” he says by phone shortly before leaving on one of his frequent trips to China in search of new markets.



Tufan Khalaji, the director of InterRail Services GmbH, the German transport and logistics company that is part of the Yixinou operation, outlines some of the issues Spanish producers of wine and olive oil face in exporting their goods to China. “The temperatures on the route can reach 30ºC below zero, which will damage wine and oil unless they are kept in special containers.” One solution is for goods to be transferred to conditioned containers at some point in central or eastern Europe. Khalaji says he hopes the Yixinou will head back to China before the end of the month, to coincide with the visit of the Chinese trade delegation.



As well as oil and wine, other Spanish goods with a market in China are milk powder, vitamin complexes made up of natural ingredients, and royal jelly, says Daniel Campos, a partner at Cobocalleja.info, which represents Chinese wholesalers operating in Spain. “Everything depends on the final price and the incentives that the delegation from Yiwu can offer. But we’ve accepted that our goods won’t get to China in time for the New Year celebrations there,” he says.



The route is part of a much bigger project that Beijing hopes will open up the interior of China



Adif, the state body responsible for Spain’s railway infrastructure, says no departure date has been set for the Yixinou to return to China or for the Spanish containers in Abroñigal to begin customs procedures.



“We’re looking into which Spanish products would be best suited to this route,” says Javier Serra, the Spanish embassy’s trade attaché in Beijing. “Beijing wants to find a formula to make the Yixinou economically viable. If it returns empty, the cost of Chinese exports will soar,” he says by phone from the Chinese capital. Serra says it is only logical that it will be more difficult to fill the train with goods on its return journey: “It reflects the pattern of international trade.” That said, he says that in recent years Spain’s exports to China have “virtually tripled, and this is a positive trend.”



The cold and costs are not the only obstacles holding back Spanish exporters: lengthy negotiations are still underway on health protocols for Spanish goods. “We’re in talks over exporting fruit with stones and pips, particularly peaches and grapes. We’d also like to see more pork product companies allowed to sell their items in China,” says Serra.



But César Jiménez of Kerry Logistics, a wholesale exporter of Spanish automotive parts, industrial products and clothing, says the Yixinou is still too expensive for most Spanish companies: “We’re looking at it, but we don’t see it as the solution for the moment. The costs are too high.” He says he has tried shipping wine overland to China in the past: “The bottles froze and exploded en route. Maybe in the spring we could try.” He adds that unless Beijing is prepared to heavily subsidize the project, it’s going to be out of most Spanish companies’ price range. “It’s different for the Germans, because high-tech products can absorb higher transport costs.”



A second train bringing Chinese goods is due to arrive in Madrid at the beginning of February



The Cobo Calleja industrial estate in the southern suburbs of Madrid is where most of Spain’s Chinese wholesalers are based, along with Zhong Yuan, the logistics company that handles the Yixinou’s containers. Ruan Zhonghu is the firm’s representative in Spain. He’s optimistic that Spanish companies will get on board the project, although he’s reluctant to give any names. In his warehouse, hundreds of huge cardboard boxes are stacked up that he says arrived aboard the Yixinou last month. The boxes are filled with suitcases, packed inside each other, like so many Russian dolls, and all waiting to be sold to the hundreds of Chinese shops throughout Spain.

Source: El Pais

Oil price shoots up: has market finally bottomed out?



Oil price and shares on the rise but experts say there are 'powerful' reasons to suggest it won't last




Tue 3 Feb 2015 




Oil prices rose yesterday, boosting oil and gas share prices and prompting further speculation that the market has bottomed out.

Brent crude, which has more than halved in seven months, posted its biggest one-day gain in six years on Friday. Despite a fall yesterday morning, the price increased again by $2.63 a barrel to $55.62.
Shares in FTSE 100 oil stocks, including BG Group, BP, Shell and Tullow Oil, rose sharply amid hopes that prices are beginning to recover, reports The Times.

The initial increases on Friday came after a report showed that 94 US oil rigs and 11 Canadian oil rigs were taken offline in the past week, suggesting that US output will fall.

US gas consumption has also picked up in recent weeks, indicating that demand is responding to lower prices.
"There is no doubt that investors are flooding back into energy," Ole Hansen, the head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, told the Times. "The market has been under so much selling pressure for so long. Investors are worried they going to lose out on a rally."

However, he added that a long-term increase was too early to call. "It could easily run out of steam and we could see prices come back down again quickly," he said.

Abdullah al-Badri, secretary general of Opec, suggested that prices had "reached a bottom" last week and predicted a rebound "very soon".

But Neil Hume, commodities editor at the Financial Times, says there are "powerful" reasons for thinking that prices have not found a floor.

One reason is that the global growth market is sluggish, with companies and households cutting back on investment and consumption. While US rig counts are falling, US domestic production is still rising, he says, and there is no sign of Opec lowering its production target, with some members even increasing their output.

Source: www.theweek.co.uk

viernes, 23 de enero de 2015

Forex - EUR/USD slips to fresh 11-year lows, ECB move still weighs


The euro slipped to fresh 11-year lows against the U.S. dollar on Friday, as news of a fresh easing measures by the European Central Bank continued to weigh, while markets eyed a string of manufacturing and service sector data from euro zone countries due later in the day.
EUR/USD hit 1.1315 during late Asian trade, the pair's lowest since September 2003; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.1342, slipping 0.17%.
The pair was likely to find support at 1.0762 and resistance at 1.1647, Thursday's high.


The single currency came under broad selling pressure after ECB President Mario Draghi on Thursday said it will make monthly purchases of €60 billion per month, starting in March and continuing until late 2016.


Draghi acknowledged the action the ECB took last year was “insufficient” to ward off the threat of deflation in the region. The annual rate of inflation in the euro area fell into negative territory last month, dropping 0.2%.

Draghi said the risks to the euro area recovery remain to the “downside” but added that today’s action should bolster the outlook. He noted that lower oil prices should help households and support a wider recovery.


Meanwhile, the dollar remained supported after data showed that U.S. jobless claims fell from a seven-month high last week, albeit less than economists had initially anticipated.

The U.S. Department of Labor reported on Thursday that the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending January 17 decreased by 10,000 to 307,000 from the previous week’s total of 317,000.

Analysts had expected initial jobless claims to decline by 17,000 to 300,000 last week.

The euro was hovering close to seven-year lows against the pound, with EUR/GBP edging down 0.13% to 0.7561.

Later in the day, the euro zone was to publish preliminary data on private sector activity, while Germany and France were to also to publish data on private sector growth.

The U.S. was to release preliminary data on manufacturing activity and a private sector report on existing home sales.


Investing.com  Jan 23, 2015 07:27AM GMT

jueves, 15 de enero de 2015

Tesco launches app on Google Glass

Retailer becomes first to launch its grocery app for Google Glass to work alongside shoppers’ Tesco online accounts.

Tesco has become the first retailer to launch a version of its grocery app through Google Glass allowing customers to shop hands-free.

Developed by Tesco Labs, the Tesco Grocery Glassware lets shoppers who are wearing Google’s latest innovation to browse goods, view nutritional information and add items to a shopping basket, without touching anything.
It works alongside customers’ Tesco.com grocery accounts, automatically adding products to their online basket for them to review and order by computer, tablet or mobile.
Tesco said it has intentionally kept the app simple as it considers consumer response to wearables and likelihood of increased demand.

“We don’t envisage Glass becoming the new platform for shopping as its functionality is different, and more immediate,” said Tesco Labs’ innovation engineer, Pablo Coberly. “Instead, it compliments other devices and integrates shopping into everyday life because products can be ordered or added as and when customers realise they need replacing.”

“We’ve intentionally kept functionality very basic given the early stages of customer use of Glass. We’re keen to see how customers react to shopping with Glassware and welcome feedback or suggestions from customers using Glass.”
Glass users can install Tesco Grocery Glassware through MyGlass on their mobile device or desktop.

Fruitnet.com

martes, 13 de enero de 2015

German and Russian ag ministers to meet in Berlin

January 13th, 2015
The German Government is hopeful a meeting between Agriculture Minister Christian Schmidt and his Russian counterpart Nikolay Fyodorov will help relax the eastern country’s import embargo on food products from the EU.
German Agriculture Minister Christian Schmidt will meet with Russian counterpart Nikolay Fyodorov this week. Photo: BMEL/photothek.net/Thomas Köhler
German Agriculture Minister Christian Schmidt will meet with Russian counterpart Nikolay Fyodorov this week. Photo: BMEL/photothek.net/Thomas Köhler.
The upcoming meeting, to take place on Jan. 16 during International Green Week Berlin, was revealed by magazine Wirtschaftswoche.
Schmidt told the publication he wanted to discuss the matter with Fyodorov, highlighting a concession from Russia “could help to improve relations”.
The minister told Wirtschaftswoche he hoped for a “speedy return to the traditionally good agricultural relations between both countries”, but said this would not mean a automatic end to Western economic sanctions against Russia.
Russia’s delegation will have 3,600 square meters (38,750 square feet) of exhibition space at the trade fair, making the country the largest single user, the story reported.
The Moscow Times reported Latvian Foreign Minister Edgars Rinkevics – whose country took over the EU’s rotating presidency this year – told a news conference the union would consider lifting sanctions against Russia if “real progress” were made in implementing a cease-fire deal in the Ukraine.
“We think the sanctions imposed over east Ukraine can be lifted when we see not only agreements signed but real progress,” Rinkevics told reporters after meeting Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.
“If we see real progress, the European Union will be ready to seriously consider easing or lifting the sanctions.”
The effects of Russia’s ban continue to be seen through the level of interceptions of “gray trade” produce items. For example, on Jan. 8 alone Russian authorities sent back 60 metric tons (MT) of fruits and vegetables re-exported from the Belarus, one third of which were Polish apples.

viernes, 9 de enero de 2015

Ads Could Soon Know If You are an Introvert (on Twitter) - IBM Waston


Technology that derives personality traits from Twitter updates is being tested to help target promotions and personalize customer service.

Here you can try : 
http://sgiz.mobi/s3/45ebffc16618


WHY IT MATTERS

Both businesses and customers have a significant interest in the technologies used to target and track personal behavior.

Trying to derive a person’s wants and needs—conscious or otherwise—from online browsing and buying habits has become crucial to companies of all kinds.

Now IBM is taking the idea a step further. It is testing technology that guesses at people’s core psychological traits by analyzing what they post on Twitter, with the goal of offering personalized customer service or better-targeted promotional messages.

“We need to go below behavioral analysis like Amazon does,” says Michelle Zhou, leader of the User Systems and Experience Research Group at IBM’s Almaden Research Center in California, which developed the software. “We want to use social media to derive information about an individual—what is the overall affect of this person? How resilient is this person emotionally? People with different personalities want something different.”

Zhou’s software develops a personality profile based on a person’s most recent few hundred or thousand Twitter updates. That profile scores the “big five” traits commonly used in psychological research: extroversion, agreeableness, conscientiousness, neuroticism, and openness to experience. It also scores the person on measures of “values” (for example, hedonism and conservatism) and “needs” (for example, curiosity and social harmony).

Zhou says she is working with several IBM customers to test how the technology might help their businesses. She declines to identify the companies but says they might use the system, for example, to tune marketing messages sent by e-mail or social media, or to select the promotional content displayed when a customer logs in to his or her account.

A crucial part of the pilot program will test whether messages targeted with the technology’s help perform better than others. “Our hypothesis is that the conversion rates will be quite high,” says Zhou. At least, she expects them to be higher than is typical: e-mail marketing
messages ordinarily have a response rate of just 0.34 percent, she says, and phone marketing calls achieve about 13 percent.

Zhou says that having a rough idea of a person’s personality could also help in call centers or other customer service settings, such as when an airline must break the news that a flight has been cancelled or delayed.

“Studies show people that are extroverted want a reward and recognition, like 10,000 [frequent flyer] points,” she says. “Conscientious people want efficiency, to know their new flight right away.” In a call center scenario, a customer’s personality profile might advise a customer service agent whether to efficiently provide “just the facts” or to try to be more engaging and supportive, says Zhou.

Many businesses already make use of software that analyzes social-media activity. However, it is aimed either at helping corporate representatives interact with customers or at summarizing the overall volume and tone of a discussion (see “A Social-Media Decoder”), not at profiling individuals.



Personal profile: According to IBM’s analytic software, this author’s Twitter account reveals him to be more neurotic than extroverted.
IBM’s software was developed by recruiting people to answer psychological questionnaires and comparing the results with their Twitter activity. Machine learning software then looked at how different patterns of word use matched with psychological traits. Those correlations were used to derive models that can create a profile from a person’s tweets alone.

In a study where 300 people had their Twitter profiles processed by the software and also took psychometric surveys, the results were “highly correlated” more than 80 percent of the time, says Zhou. However, she notes that when people use Twitter in a specialized way—for example, journalists discussing their beat—their tweet-derived profiles may not be so representative.

Still, Zhou argues that since the methods companies currently use to target and understand their customers are relatively imprecise, IBM’s software doesn’t have to capture a person’s personality completely to be useful. She also says it should be possible to adapt the software to use other sources of data, such as call center transcripts or online customer service chats.
Software like Zhou’s that relies on language use should be able to usefully capture something of a person’s personality, says Andrew Schwartz, a researcher at the University of Pennsylvania, who recently published a major study of how personality traits show up in Facebook activity (See “How Your Facebook Profile Reveals More About Your Personality Than You Know”). He says previous research has shown that measured personality traits can predict future actions, such as the number of sick days or doctor’s visits a person will report.

“It seems reasonable that personality would be useful for presenting ads that resonate better with the recipient,” says Schwartz. “The ad-targeting application has been talked about for a few years now, but I think language-based measures of personality are just now becoming reliable enough to see it happen.”


They explain who is Watson: 
http://www.ibm.com/smarterplanet/us/en/ibmwatson/