miércoles, 25 de marzo de 2015

Chilean cherries set new record

In spite of exports reaching a historic high, 2014/15 will go down as one of the industry’s most challenging seasons

Cristián Tagle of the Chilean Cherry Committee

















Chilean cherry exports reached 99,461 tonnes in 2014/15, rising by 45 per cent on last season and setting a new volume record for the industry. The increase came in spite of the losses caused by heavy rainfall at key stages of the season and was due mainly to new acreage and varieties coming into production.

Cristián Tagle, president of the Chilean Cherry Committee, said in spite of the record volume, 2014/15 had been one of the most challenging seasons the industry had ever experienced.

“In late November and mid-December we suffered excessive rains, which resulted in inconsistent quality for our main varieties, Bing and Lapins,” he told Fruitnet.

Asia was once again the principle export market, accounting for 83 per cent of the export volume. China absorbed 76 per cent of total shipments. Ten years ago, only 23 per cent of shipments went to East Asia. By contrast, the US accounted for just 9 per cent of the shipment total, down from 45 per cent a decade ago.

“Last season the Chinese market took 2,800 containers; this season that figure grew by 60 per cent to around 4,300 containers, which presented a huge challenge,” Tagle noted. “We used to be virtually alone in China, whereas now we have to compete with arrivals from Australia, New Zealand and Argentina.”

However, Tagle said there was still huge potential in the Chinese market: “We sell to specialist stores, wholesale markets and the supermarkets and we believe there are opportunities to grow all three.”

According to the CCC, high levels of investment are required in farms to protect next season’s crop from possible heavy spring rains.

“Other key challenges we face as an industry include improving the logistics for exports to Asia and diversifying our export markets in the region and opening new markets,” Tagle said.


He pointed to the recent success in gaining access to the Japanese market for cherries not requiring fumigation under the so-called Systems Approach.

Fruitnet.com Wednesday 25th March 2015

martes, 10 de marzo de 2015

A Dollar and a Euro could soon be worth the same thing.

Well, won't be needing those anymore.
Photo Illustration by Sean Gallup/Getty Images
The euro crumbled below a new benchmark in early trading Tuesday, falling below $1.08 for the first time in 11 years, and just kept sliding all day. At 4:30 p.m. GMT (12:30 a.m. ET) it dropped to as low as low as $1.0709, down 1.32 percent.
Less than a week ago, it was above $1.10. And just 12 months ago, the euro reached an 18-month high against the dollar, at nearly $1.40. It has plunged 22.5 percent since then. Here's how it looks:

Investing.com/Business Insider
The rapid decline of the euro is raising questions about whether and when the two currencies might reach parity again, according to the FT. They have not been one for one since 2002.
Here's the FT:
"It's a risk that the market will move towards parity," says Jane Foley, senior FX strategist at Rabobank. "It's something which may happen during the course of the year."
As Divyang Shah, global strategist at IFR Markets, puts it: "The trend remains your friend on this one and we see a strong possibility for the unit to trade at parity this year."
Oxford Economics and Goldman Sachs had forecast that the euro would drop to parity against the dollar by the end of 2016, though that could happen a lot sooner at the speed at which the euro is weakening. Many forecasters started the year with a $1.15 forecast for the euro at the end of the 2015. Unless the euro strengthens considerably from now on, that's not looking like a very good projection.

Google Finance/Business Insider
Generally, the European Central Bank's new quantitative-easing program should tend to weaken the euro, and the Federal Reserve's likely rate hikes should strengthen the US currency: When investments made in dollars can get a better return through higher interest rates, demand for dollars goes up, and so the currency strengthens against others. 
And as far as pretty much anyone is concerned, in the next couple of years the ECB will keep monetary policy loose, while the Fed will be looking to raise rates steadily. That makes parity between the euro and dollar a real possibility.


miércoles, 4 de febrero de 2015

All aboard the Spain-China train?



Low temperatures and high costs are making exporters reluctant to use the new rail route.
22 ENE 2015






Yixinou freight train containers waiting to return to China. / LUIS SEVILLANO (EL PAÍS) 










On December 10, the first freight train to travel direct between China and Spain chugged into Madrid. The 13,000-kilometer Yixinou rail route is the longest in the world, linking Yiwu on China’s east coast with the Spanish capital.



Conceived as a huge two-way trade highway between the two countries, it brought all kinds of consumer items along what has been dubbed the new silk road, and the idea is that it will return to China filled with Spanish wine, olive oil, milk, and even cured ham for China’s burgeoning middle classes. But plans for the train to begin its 21-day journey back in time for the Chinese New Year on February 19 are on hold, and for the moment, its 30 dark blue containers remain stacked up in the Abroñigal rail depot in Madrid.



The sub-zero temperatures that the train will encounter as it passes through Russia, Kazakhstan, and eastern China, along with the high cost of moving goods aboard it, are the main reasons Spanish exporters are reluctant to use the Yixinou train to ship their products for the moment. An official delegation from Yiwu arrives in Madrid this week to try to get a project moving that is very important to the Chinese authorities. A second train bringing Chinese goods is due to arrive in Madrid at the beginning of February.




“We’ve accepted that our goods won’t get to China in time for the New Year celebrations there”.



Daniel Campos, Cobocalleja.info




The route that connects Madrid with Yiwu is part of a much bigger project that Beijing hopes will open up the interior of China. At the same time as fomenting trade with western Europe, the idea is to create new branches from the silk road, connecting with markets in Russia, Mongolia, Kazakhstan, and even Myanmar, Bangladesh, and India.



The difficulties in persuading Spanish businesses to sign up in part illustrates Spain’s trade imbalance, which is heavily in favor of China: the country’s trade deficit with China was €13.4 billion in 2013. That said, exports are growing, and China is now Spain’s fourth-largest non-EU market, after the United States, Morocco, and Turkey. A total of 12,878 Spanish companies exported goods to China last year.



The Yixinou is faster and more reliable than shipping, making it particularly attractive for exporters of perishable and electronic goods. The problem is that it’s up to 30 percent more expensive than maritime travel. Julia Zhang, the director of Orient Consulting, which aims to boost trade ties between China and Spain, has been monitoring the Yixinou initiative closely: “Until now, containers carried aboard ships took up to 45 days to travel from China to Spain. The train is more expensive, but it could be the solution for Spanish exporters that don’t want to have to take their goods through ports.”



Yiwu, the train’s final destination in China, is a vast manufacturing and trading hub located in the eastern coastal province of Zhejiang, where around 70 percent of Chinese immigrants in Spain come from. With its strong ties to their country of origin, the Yixinou has aroused interest among Spain’s Chinese business community. Zhang says the original idea was to export wine and oil aboard the train: “Chinese businesses in Spain are selling a lot of wine and oil to China. A bottle costing €10 here can be sold very easily there for €30. What’s more, the Chinese are drinking larger and larger amounts of Spanish wine. People have more money and are becoming aware of other wines than France’s.”




The wine bottles froze and exploded en route. Maybe in the spring we could try”



César Jiménez of exporter Kerry Logistics




The popularity of olive oil has also soared in recent years in China, where its health-giving properties are increasingly appreciated. “Spanish olive oil has become fashionable in China. It has a good image,” says Fernando Ortega, director of iloveaceite.com, which sells Spanish olive oil around the world. But he believes that for the moment, sea transport will continue to be the preferred option for olive oil exporters, based simply on cost. “Exporters analyze costs down to the last cent. And until prices are adjusted, I don’t think the train is an option in the short term,” he says by phone shortly before leaving on one of his frequent trips to China in search of new markets.



Tufan Khalaji, the director of InterRail Services GmbH, the German transport and logistics company that is part of the Yixinou operation, outlines some of the issues Spanish producers of wine and olive oil face in exporting their goods to China. “The temperatures on the route can reach 30ºC below zero, which will damage wine and oil unless they are kept in special containers.” One solution is for goods to be transferred to conditioned containers at some point in central or eastern Europe. Khalaji says he hopes the Yixinou will head back to China before the end of the month, to coincide with the visit of the Chinese trade delegation.



As well as oil and wine, other Spanish goods with a market in China are milk powder, vitamin complexes made up of natural ingredients, and royal jelly, says Daniel Campos, a partner at Cobocalleja.info, which represents Chinese wholesalers operating in Spain. “Everything depends on the final price and the incentives that the delegation from Yiwu can offer. But we’ve accepted that our goods won’t get to China in time for the New Year celebrations there,” he says.



The route is part of a much bigger project that Beijing hopes will open up the interior of China



Adif, the state body responsible for Spain’s railway infrastructure, says no departure date has been set for the Yixinou to return to China or for the Spanish containers in Abroñigal to begin customs procedures.



“We’re looking into which Spanish products would be best suited to this route,” says Javier Serra, the Spanish embassy’s trade attaché in Beijing. “Beijing wants to find a formula to make the Yixinou economically viable. If it returns empty, the cost of Chinese exports will soar,” he says by phone from the Chinese capital. Serra says it is only logical that it will be more difficult to fill the train with goods on its return journey: “It reflects the pattern of international trade.” That said, he says that in recent years Spain’s exports to China have “virtually tripled, and this is a positive trend.”



The cold and costs are not the only obstacles holding back Spanish exporters: lengthy negotiations are still underway on health protocols for Spanish goods. “We’re in talks over exporting fruit with stones and pips, particularly peaches and grapes. We’d also like to see more pork product companies allowed to sell their items in China,” says Serra.



But César Jiménez of Kerry Logistics, a wholesale exporter of Spanish automotive parts, industrial products and clothing, says the Yixinou is still too expensive for most Spanish companies: “We’re looking at it, but we don’t see it as the solution for the moment. The costs are too high.” He says he has tried shipping wine overland to China in the past: “The bottles froze and exploded en route. Maybe in the spring we could try.” He adds that unless Beijing is prepared to heavily subsidize the project, it’s going to be out of most Spanish companies’ price range. “It’s different for the Germans, because high-tech products can absorb higher transport costs.”



A second train bringing Chinese goods is due to arrive in Madrid at the beginning of February



The Cobo Calleja industrial estate in the southern suburbs of Madrid is where most of Spain’s Chinese wholesalers are based, along with Zhong Yuan, the logistics company that handles the Yixinou’s containers. Ruan Zhonghu is the firm’s representative in Spain. He’s optimistic that Spanish companies will get on board the project, although he’s reluctant to give any names. In his warehouse, hundreds of huge cardboard boxes are stacked up that he says arrived aboard the Yixinou last month. The boxes are filled with suitcases, packed inside each other, like so many Russian dolls, and all waiting to be sold to the hundreds of Chinese shops throughout Spain.

Source: El Pais

Oil price shoots up: has market finally bottomed out?



Oil price and shares on the rise but experts say there are 'powerful' reasons to suggest it won't last




Tue 3 Feb 2015 




Oil prices rose yesterday, boosting oil and gas share prices and prompting further speculation that the market has bottomed out.

Brent crude, which has more than halved in seven months, posted its biggest one-day gain in six years on Friday. Despite a fall yesterday morning, the price increased again by $2.63 a barrel to $55.62.
Shares in FTSE 100 oil stocks, including BG Group, BP, Shell and Tullow Oil, rose sharply amid hopes that prices are beginning to recover, reports The Times.

The initial increases on Friday came after a report showed that 94 US oil rigs and 11 Canadian oil rigs were taken offline in the past week, suggesting that US output will fall.

US gas consumption has also picked up in recent weeks, indicating that demand is responding to lower prices.
"There is no doubt that investors are flooding back into energy," Ole Hansen, the head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, told the Times. "The market has been under so much selling pressure for so long. Investors are worried they going to lose out on a rally."

However, he added that a long-term increase was too early to call. "It could easily run out of steam and we could see prices come back down again quickly," he said.

Abdullah al-Badri, secretary general of Opec, suggested that prices had "reached a bottom" last week and predicted a rebound "very soon".

But Neil Hume, commodities editor at the Financial Times, says there are "powerful" reasons for thinking that prices have not found a floor.

One reason is that the global growth market is sluggish, with companies and households cutting back on investment and consumption. While US rig counts are falling, US domestic production is still rising, he says, and there is no sign of Opec lowering its production target, with some members even increasing their output.

Source: www.theweek.co.uk

viernes, 23 de enero de 2015

Forex - EUR/USD slips to fresh 11-year lows, ECB move still weighs


The euro slipped to fresh 11-year lows against the U.S. dollar on Friday, as news of a fresh easing measures by the European Central Bank continued to weigh, while markets eyed a string of manufacturing and service sector data from euro zone countries due later in the day.
EUR/USD hit 1.1315 during late Asian trade, the pair's lowest since September 2003; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.1342, slipping 0.17%.
The pair was likely to find support at 1.0762 and resistance at 1.1647, Thursday's high.


The single currency came under broad selling pressure after ECB President Mario Draghi on Thursday said it will make monthly purchases of €60 billion per month, starting in March and continuing until late 2016.


Draghi acknowledged the action the ECB took last year was “insufficient” to ward off the threat of deflation in the region. The annual rate of inflation in the euro area fell into negative territory last month, dropping 0.2%.

Draghi said the risks to the euro area recovery remain to the “downside” but added that today’s action should bolster the outlook. He noted that lower oil prices should help households and support a wider recovery.


Meanwhile, the dollar remained supported after data showed that U.S. jobless claims fell from a seven-month high last week, albeit less than economists had initially anticipated.

The U.S. Department of Labor reported on Thursday that the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending January 17 decreased by 10,000 to 307,000 from the previous week’s total of 317,000.

Analysts had expected initial jobless claims to decline by 17,000 to 300,000 last week.

The euro was hovering close to seven-year lows against the pound, with EUR/GBP edging down 0.13% to 0.7561.

Later in the day, the euro zone was to publish preliminary data on private sector activity, while Germany and France were to also to publish data on private sector growth.

The U.S. was to release preliminary data on manufacturing activity and a private sector report on existing home sales.


Investing.com  Jan 23, 2015 07:27AM GMT